Rent-favouring case
Property growth 1.5 points lower, rent growth 1 point lower and investment return 1 point higher.
Outcome
Buying ahead
£24,099
- Property
- 1%
- Rent
- 2%
- Investing
- 6%
An assumption-led UK calculator
Same starting cash, same monthly budget. Change every assumption when you are ready.
Your decision ledger
Quick comparison
Seven inputs shape the first answer.
Saving draft
The home and rental you are actually comparing.
A repayment mortgage; eligibility and remortgaging are not assessed.
Current result
After 10 years under your selected assumptions. Values are shown in nominal pounds.
Buying finishes ahead in all three tested cases.
Buying margin across the cases: £24,099–£238,980.
Durable crossover
Buying stays ahead from about year 2.2
Refine the model
These values already affect the answer. Open a section to change them.
UK property evidence
Attach UK HPI history by area and property type.
UK rent evidence
Attach ONS rent history by area and rental segment.
Investment evidence
Attach filed fund history converted to GBP with matched CPIH.
Display assumption
Future inflation
Converts projected values to today’s money; it does not change the nominal cash flows.
Historical rates are evidence, not forecasts. Editing an applied rate detaches its evidence; manual rates are nominal.
Your analysis
The result updates as you edit the setup above. It is an illustration under your assumptions, not a prediction.
£126,755
after 10 years, if every assumption happens exactly as entered. Values are shown in nominal pounds.
Durable crossover
Buying stays ahead from about year 2.2
Buying finishes ahead in all three tested cases.
Three stress cases show how much the margin can move. They are not probabilities.
Rent-favouring case
Outcome: buying ahead
£24,099
Your assumptions
Outcome: buying ahead
£126,755
Buy-favouring case
Outcome: buying ahead
£238,980
Buying wealth
£272,486
£269,696 equity before selling costs
Renting wealth
£145,731
£143,631 invested + refundable deposit
Month one · nominal cash flow
Mortgage principal becomes equity, so these are outgoings rather than unrecoverable costs.
Buying path
Buying: £2,349 housing outgoings plus £0 invested in the market equals a total monthly commitment of £2,349.
Renting path
Renting: £2,115 housing outgoings plus £234 invested in the market equals a total monthly commitment of £2,349.
Investment is automatic. Whatever remains after housing costs is invested in the market, keeping both paths on the same monthly budget.
Recalculated every month
Illustrative only. The model keeps its cash flows nominal. Any historical evidence enters as a nominal annual rate. It assumes a constant mortgage rate, full rental-deposit return and no investment tax or fees. The today’s-money option uses your 2% future inflation assumption as a display conversion and does not change the nominal winner. It does not assess affordability or mortgage eligibility.
Sensitivity range
Explicit stress cases, not probabilities. Each card shows the rates used; amounts are in nominal pounds.
Rent-favouring case
Property growth 1.5 points lower, rent growth 1 point lower and investment return 1 point higher.
Outcome
Buying ahead
£24,099
Your assumptions
Your selected assumptions, without an implied probability.
Outcome
Buying ahead
£126,755
Buy-favouring case
Property growth 1.5 points higher, rent growth 1 point higher and investment return 1 point lower.
Outcome
Buying ahead
£238,980
Unrecoverable cost totals are shown in nominal pounds.
How the comparison stays fair
Both paths start with the same cash and use the same monthly budget.
Conservative, base and optimistic cases stay visibly distinct.
Your scenario stays in this browser unless you choose to share a link.
What this cannot know
House prices, rents, mortgage rates and investment returns can all move differently from the past. That is why this calculator shows a range and makes every assumption editable.
The financial result is only one part of the decision. Stability, flexibility, schools, commute, repair appetite and the chance you move sooner still belong in the conversation.