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Evidence register

Sources,not secrets.

Rules, dates and evidence should be inspectable. HMRC remains authoritative for tax; historical data remains evidence, not a forecast.

Last full source review · 13 July 2026

SOURCE 01

Tax rules

Stamp Duty Land Tax

The calculator’s residential SDLT logic is limited to England and Northern Ireland. The current bands below took effect on 1 April 2025 and were checked against GOV.UK on 23 July 2026. HMRC’s calculation manual requires the final marginal tax amount to be rounded down to the nearest whole pound; the model applies that rule after summing the bands.

Standard residential Stamp Duty Land Tax bands for England and Northern Ireland
Portion of priceStandard rateAdditional property
Up to £125,0000%5%
£125,001–£250,0002%7%
£250,001–£925,0005%10%
£925,001–£1.5m10%15%
Above £1.5m12%17%

First-time buyers

Qualifying purchases pay 0% up to £300,000 and 5% on the portion from £300,001 to £500,000. Above £500,000, the relief is unavailable and standard rates apply.

Additional property

The model applies the additional-property rates from £40,000 and returns £0 below that threshold. From £40,000, it adds five percentage points to the standard bands. Whether the higher rates legally apply depends on the buyer and transaction.

Not covered: the non-resident surcharge, companies and trusts, linked transactions, multiple dwellings, shared ownership, lease-rent net present value, special reliefs, Scotland’s LBTT or Wales’s LTT. “No SDLT” is a manual override, not tax advice.

SOURCE 02

Market evidence

UK House Price Index

The property-growth chooser uses a committed derivative of the April 2026 UK House Price Index. It covers completed sales, includes cash and mortgage purchases, and supports English local-authority and property-type histories. Northern Ireland is available at national level only in this source.

Producer
HM Land Registry with LPSNI, ONS and Registers of Scotland
Release
April 2026 · published 17 June 2026
Evidence endpoint
April 2025 · latest 12 months excluded
Coverage
295 English local authorities, 9 regions and Northern Ireland nationally

Required attribution

Contains HM Land Registry data © Crown copyright and database right 2020. This data is licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.

Inflation evidence

ONS CPIH all-items index

Historical inflation uses the monthly CPIH all-items index, series L522 from ONS dataset MM23. The committed artifact covers January 1988 to May 2026, from the release published 17 June 2026. Property, rent and referenced investment comparisons match CPIH to their own historical start and end months; no future value is inferred from this series. CPIH is a broad UK purchasing-power measure, not wage growth, housing affordability or a household’s personal inflation rate.

Source: Office for National Statistics, Consumer price inflation time series (MM23), CPIH all-items index (L522). Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.

Historical growth is not a forecast. The app calculates nominal compound annual change and change after matched CPIH over the selected 5, 10, 15 or 20-year period. The nominal value is applied to the model; matched CPIH and after-CPIH growth are shown as read-only purchasing-power context. The latest year is excluded because lower-geography estimates can be revised as more registered sales arrive. Editing the applied percentage manually removes its evidence label.

English local authorities are connected to regional benchmarks using the Office for National Statistics LAD25-to-region lookup, retrieved 12 July 2026. Source: Office for National Statistics licensed under the Open Government Licence v.3.0. The public derivative contains no household scenarios, addresses, bank data or proprietary Nationwide index observations.

SOURCE 03

Rental evidence

ONS Price Index of Private Rents

The rent-growth chooser uses a committed derivative of the ONS Price Index of Private Rents release published 17 June 2026. For England, PIPR aims to track the whole private rental stock rather than only the latest listings. The release publishes indices and modelled monthly rent levels by geography and rental segment; Northern Ireland uses a different observation basis, explained below.

Producer
Office for National Statistics
Release
17 June 2026 · retrieved 13 July 2026
Evidence endpoint
March 2026 · latest two months excluded
Coverage
294 English local authorities and 8 Northern Ireland rental areas

Required attribution

Source: Office for National Statistics licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Crown copyright © 2026.

Whole market

An all-private-rents index and modelled monthly rent level.

Bedrooms

Separate one, two, three and four-or-more-bedroom histories.

Property type

Detached, semi-detached, terraced and flat or maisonette histories.

The app annualises the change in the unrounded PIPR index over the selected five- or ten-year period. Published rent levels are rounded and are shown only as context. Every geography uses March 2026 as a common endpoint: the June workbook continues to May for England, but Northern Ireland source observations arrive two months later. This avoids applying imputed Northern Ireland values or comparing areas over different end dates.

England local-authority data use achieved rents from new and existing tenancies. Northern Ireland is published through eight Broad Rental Market Areas and uses advertised new lets. The chooser states that difference beside every result. English local results are shown with their regional benchmark; Northern Ireland results are shown with the national benchmark. ONS advises using longer local trends because lower-geography collection volumes can produce volatility. The City of London and Isles of Scilly are not published because of low collection volumes.

Nominal index growth enters the nominal model. CPIH is matched to the exact start and end months, while the calculated after-CPIH change remains read-only purchasing-power context. Editing the applied rent-growth percentage manually removes the evidence attachment. The generated derivative contains no addresses, household scenarios or private finance data.

SOURCE 04

Investment references

Fund histories and public FX, not proprietary index histories

The investment return remains a visible, editable nominal model assumption. The historical chooser applies a nominal GBP rate and shows after-CPIH context calculated from actual before-tax/NAV total returns for two representative funds disclosed in pinned SEC filings: Vanguard Total World Stock ETF (VT) for global equities and State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) for US large caps. These are fund histories after their ongoing expenses, not copied FTSE, MSCI or S&P benchmark histories.

Observed

A quote, listing, statement or published rule with a date.

Derived

A transparent calculation from a named public dataset.

Assumed

A value chosen to test a possible future scenario.

Global equities proxy — VT

Vanguard Total World Stock Index Fund ETF Shares. The 2026 filing supplies 5- and 10-year NAV returns to December 2025; the 2016 filing supplies the earlier 5-year factor used for 15 years.

US large-cap proxy — SPY

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust. The 2026 and 2016 filings provide exact, non-overlapping before-tax fund-return factors for 5, 10, 15 and 20 years.

GBP conversion — DEXUSUK

Federal Reserve H.10 daily US dollars per pound sterling. Each window uses the endpoint observation, or the nearest prior published observation when 31 December is not available.

Each disclosed USD CAGR is converted back to a total factor. Longer windows multiply exact, non-overlapping factors rather than average percentages. The app then calculates GBP factor = USD fund factor × (USD/GBP at start ÷ USD/GBP at end), annualises that factor, and compares it with ONS CPIH over the same December-to-December window. The after-CPIH rate divides compounded factors rather than subtracting annual percentages. It is shown as context; the nominal GBP history is passed unchanged to the nominal cash-flow model.

The checked-in derivative records every accession, fund/share-class identity, factual input, source checksum, retrieval date, FX observation, transformation and rights note. It extracts only fund return facts from the filings—no filing layout, image, logo or proprietary benchmark row. DEXUSUK is marked “Public Domain: Citation Requested.” Inspect the immutable data record.

The GBP results are unhedged equivalents, not GBP share-class returns. Fund expenses are reflected; UK platform charges, trading costs and tax are excluded. Historical performance is not a forecast, and no affiliation with or endorsement by the SEC, Federal Reserve, Vanguard, State Street or a benchmark provider is implied.

Calculation terminology review · 22 July 2026

The mortgage field is a nominal annual product interest rate, not APRC. APRC represents the mortgage’s annual lifetime cost and can include relevant charges. Clarifying that term, retaining incomplete negative-number drafts while editing, restricting those fields to base-10 decimal syntax, reporting exact normalised sensitivity changes and replacing “leads throughout” with “never trails” do not change the tax bands, market evidence or evidence transformations on this page. FCA APRC explanation

Browser saving is not a new evidence source

A named saved scenario stores the selected calculator inputs and any attached public-evidence references as a local snapshot. Saving, renaming, loading or updating it does not replace a rate, refresh a dataset or change the model’s assumptions. The scenario name stays local and is excluded from shared URLs.

Moving new shared-scenario state from the request query to the browser-only URL fragment changes its transport, not the input normalisation, evidence metadata, tax rules, datasets or evidence transformations recorded on this page. Legacy query links remain readable and are rewritten in the browser after arrival.

Tax rules and statistical releases change. If this page’s review date is old, verify the linked primary source before relying on the estimate. Please treat any discrepancy in favour of the primary source.